Calgarians soon to pay city’s $1.3 billion water debt

Get used to paying higher rates for your city utility bills
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Calgary’s economic boom was one hell of a ride: High energy prices turned small oil players into millionaires, women bared their breasts on the Red Mile and cookie-cutter McMansions sprouted up like weeds in the city’s burbs.

It was, for a short time, all about the bucks, imported fast cars and flipping cavernous homes.

But like all boom-time bashes, someone has to foot the bill when it goes bust. And the bill Calgarians are now stuck with is a 10-digit liability — $1.3 billion and growing, to be exact.

That bloated figure is the city’s water and sewer debt, which, left unchecked, could hit $2.4 billion by 2019, warns a financial policy report recently reviewed by city council members.

It’s an unsustainable debt load that threatens the city’s credit rating and its ability to borrow in the future. And any Calgarian who pays a water and sewer bill will soon be asked to pay the piper.

Until administration crunches the numbers, no one knows exactly how painful the bill will be, though it will be “substantial,” says Ald. Druh Farrell. “We don’t know the number,” she says. “The reality is stark. It isn’t insurmountable, but it will be if we continue to neglect this.”

The bulk of the debt is due to a 10-year agreement the city has had with developers, in which Calgarians have been subsidizing water and sewer infrastructure for new suburbs.

The city and the development industry are currently haggling over a new five-year deal. Developers say new homebuyers may get dinged $10,000 more for their new homes if the industry is forced to foot the bill.

Between 2001 and 2004, capital spending for water and sewer averaged less than $100 million a year. Between 2002 and 2006, more than 137,000 Calgarians, flush with available credit, flocked to the suburbs. During that time, then-mayor Dave Bronconnier famously quipped: “There’s no such thing as urban sprawl in Calgary.”

Meanwhile, pressure began to mount on the city’s utilities. People need their taps to run and toilets to flush. Upgrades to the Glenmore and Bearspaw water treatment plants, and building the Pine Creek sewage plant cost taxpayers $730 million — $300 million more than originally projected.

“Construction costs were escalating quite rapidly at the time,” says Ald. Dale Hodges. “And those projects got caught up in the whole matter of cost escalation of all these major projects, including road projects.”

In 2006, Ald. Gord Lowe, then chair of the utilities and environment committee, said the cost overruns of those water and sewage plant projects were “not a concern.” He now says the debt figures aren’t surprising.

“I could see these numbers coming,” he says. “That last spurt of growth, there’s lots of residual effects from it that we’re going to have to deal with in the next few years.”

According to the city, the average annual water and sewer bill for a single-family home is $900 (water bills have increased by 15.8 per cent since 2009). Each new home built in the city requires about $9,000 for water and sewer infrastructure.

Unlike other departments, the city’s utility operates entirely on the backs of users. But the cost of new infrastructure has outpaced revenue and the city became increasingly reliant on loans instead of paying cash.

Between 2004 and 2009, debt financing of capital projects rose from 53 per cent to more than 96 per cent. By 2009, $242.9 million of the $253 million spent on water and wastewater projects was paid by taking on more debt.

Imagine paying 96 per cent of your home bills with a credit card — it’s a credit counsellor’s nightmare, yet that’s essentially what the city is doing: incurring more debt to pay for maintenance, such as water main replacements, when “we should be paying for that with cash,” says Paul Fesko, manager of strategic services for the city’s water resources. “It’s not a good thing.”

“If you were doing this in your house it would be like taking out a mortgage to replace the motor in your furnace, when you should just be paying it out of cash,” he says. “It’s making the overall debt of the utility increase.”

Today’s $1.3-billion water and sewer utility debt makes up more than half the city’s $2.4-billion debt (excluding an additional $500,000 of Enmax’s debt). Each Calgarian now owes almost $1,300 of that $1.3-billion debt — exceeding the province’s debt-limit regulation, which would be “viewed as a significant challenge to increasing tax-supported debt,” says the recent report to council.

“The status quo is not an option,” says Ald. Farrell. “We still have a good waste water system. The last thing we want to do is neglect the maintenance of that system.”

Calgary isn’t alone. Several municipalities across the province are also struggling to pay for water and sewer upgrades and are expected to hike water and sewer rates.

The Mountain View Regional Water Services Commission, a regional water treatment plant serving Innisfail, Bowden, Olds, Didsbury, Carstairs and Crossfield, recently hiked water rates 20 per cent.

Didsbury residents, for example, will see an average annual $125 increase to their water and sewer bills. Further north, Spruce Grove’s city council approved a 10 per cent increase to its water rates in December. That same month, Canmore’s town administration recommended a 28 per cent hike to residents’ utility bills.

Water, says Fesko, is “never going to get cheaper in this region” and Calgarians should get used to paying a premium for a clean, safe and stable water supply.

“If you want to keep growing, have high-quality services and want to protect public health… all of those things have to be considered and that’s what people are paying for through their water and waste water rates,” he adds.

Email: thowell@ffwd.greatwest.ca


Comments: 24

Just Jonathan wrote:

Well now. Glad to see "Bronco's Brain"...good ol Gord Lowe doing the spin. Such visionaries these boys....
Now we have begun to see the results of their "managerment" style. Think the governance of Enmax and it's city backed debt.

on Feb 24th, 2011 at 6:46pm Report Abuse

BigBlueMarble wrote:

This is only the beginning of higher rates for utilities. Once the Alberta Government gets their Bill 50 Power Lines constructed the entire cost will be foisted on any person who uses electricity, and the difference with water and sewer we won't even own the power lines they will be owned by a private corporation.

on Feb 25th, 2011 at 1:13pm Report Abuse

dog dog wrote:

Apparently people in the "inner city" don't bathe, drink or take shits.

Everybody uses water. Hard to believe, but true. Even people who live downtown.

on Mar 2nd, 2011 at 9:38am Report Abuse

Agent666 wrote:

"Apparently people in the "inner city" don't bathe, drink or take shits.

"Everybody uses water. Hard to believe, but true. Even people who live downtown."

A very good point. And people didn't just 'flock to the suburbs' out of thin air. Population GROWTH is the culprit, largely due to immigration. Last year, the Feds brought in 280,000 permanent immigrants and roughly the same number of 'temporary' (for all intents and purposes, PERMANENT) ones. These people mainly settled in major metro areas, like Calgary. Have a look at the demographics of areas such as Country Hills, and you'll find suburbanites driving SUVs...who came to Canada recently. The utter refusal of anti-sprawl crusaders to admit that population growth, with mass immigration as the driver, is the underlying problem is testament to the power of political correctness in warping reality.

More people, whether they live in dense, or detatched housing, means more water consumption. New York State and the outer burroughs spend absurd amounts of money on specialised infrastructure to keep Manhattan's water and sewage flowing--something that is a bone of contention with other New Yorkers. And, Plan-It 'smart growth' notwithstanding, Southern Alberta's water supply can't accommodate the developers' wet dream of a 2M metro Calgary population. When the Province finally completes it's groundwater audit, the news will be even grimmer.

What is needed is an Okotoks-style population cap, for the WHOLE PROVINCE. This is doable, but only the political will is lacking. This would entail a freeze on ALL development permits (including infills), Provincial greenbelt legislation and controls on water useage, and reducing our immigration intake to sane levels. Of course, this would kill developers, but the needs of Albertans as a whole take precedence, here. Freezing population growth would also pay dividends in terms of things like landfill use (most non-recyclable waste is housing construction scrap) and healthcare costs (family reunification immigration being a major actuarial drain on medicare). Albertans can't keep drinking the Kool-Aid of smart growthers like Mike 'Wind Walk' Holmes, who try to tell us that the province can keep growing forever.

on Mar 2nd, 2011 at 2:59pm Report Abuse

Agent666 wrote:

The Calgary Regional Partnership is also a means of developers overruling local governments, including over water issues. And the developers keep on building 'em:

http://www.rockyviewweekly.com/article/20110304/RVW0801/303049992/bearspaw-development-approved-by-county-council

Again, the underlying problem is TOO MANY PEOPLE. Regardless of density, increasing the population requires more water, and generates more sewage and solid waste (most non-recyclable landfill garbage is housing construction scrap). And our elected officials and environmentalists are too gutless, bought-off by industry and cowed by political correctness to do what has to be done: freeze housing development, impose bans on rezoning of agricultural land and sharply reduce immigration.

on Mar 4th, 2011 at 6:01pm Report Abuse

Ron wrote:

I agree the problem is too many people, but how to solve it? Realistically, you'd have to compel many people who already live here to move. But where? And what of CHARTER S. 6(2):
Every citizen of Canada and every person who has the status of

on Mar 6th, 2011 at 1:32pm Report Abuse

Ron wrote:

Since my e-mail just sent itself on its own, I try to conclude:
CHARTER 6(2) Every citizen of Canada and every
person who has the status of permanent resident
of Canada has the right
(a) to move to and take up residence in any
province ...

Since the federal and provincial governmemts don't give a damn about the problems of a mere city, its a waste to try to fight. And the move by Okotoks to try to limit its size will come crashing down the very first time it is challenged in court.

on Mar 6th, 2011 at 1:38pm Report Abuse

Agent666 wrote:

"And the move by Okotoks to try to limit its size will come crashing down the very first time it is challenged in court."

Okotoks' approach to limiting population growth is totally legal, and within the purview of a local government: they don't give out more development permits. Developers have no recourse to get around this, and they would be laughed out of court for trying to bring a Charter challenge over their 'rights' to build stuff. What they CAN do is move their developments somewhere else, like Mike Holmes is trying to do with 'Wind Walk' on Okotoks' doorstep. However, a Provincial greenbelt policy, with a ban on developing farmland or natural areas, would quash the ability of developers to juristiction-hop.

"CHARTER 6(2) Every citizen of Canada and every
person who has the status of permanent resident
of Canada has the right
(a) to move to and take up residence in any
province ..."

Again, the problem is that immigration from OUTSIDE of Canada is the major driver of Alberta's population growth. Canada does NOT have to keep importing half a million people (280,000 permanent and the ballance 'temporary' immigrants) per year. Halt this insane level of immigration, and you take care of at least 71% of urban sprawl-generating, water-consuming population growth. The government and law enforcement could also do a better job of deporting illegals in a timely fashion: CBSA estinates that, in Toronto alone, there are over 140,000 illegal aliens. Most of these are visa overstays, so introducing exit visas and expedited deportation procedures--as well as invoking the Notwithstanding Clause over social benefits--would help, as would severe penalties for hiring or housing illegals (no free healthcare, welfare, OR employability and housing means no incentive to stay).

The rights of Citizens and legal immigrants to relocate anywhere in Canada you cite is a red herring. To reiterate: population growth is the single driver of urban sprawl and water consumption, and most of Canada's population growth is attributable to Canada's staggeringly-high immigration intake. Let's be honest and admit that bulk-importing half a million warm bodies annually isn't exactly a sound environmental policy.

on Mar 11th, 2011 at 2:17pm Report Abuse

lmeads wrote:

I disagree with the fact that population growth is the problem. The main problem, if you read the article carefully, is that maintenance and increased infrastructure costs are not supported by a sufficient tax base (ie the crux of suburban sprawl). In addition to the fact that the government is providing subsidies to developers to continue developing in this way!

There are smart ways that a city can grow sustainably, instead of imposing a population cap we should take the example of places like Portland who have established an urban growth boundary, restrict our addiction to land. And stop subsidizing the development industry while asking tax payers to foot the bill.

on Mar 12th, 2011 at 12:58am Report Abuse

dog dog wrote:

@lmeads

LOL!

Seriously?

Have you ever considered that the 'problem' might be that the city spends too much?

In other words, if your budget brings in $10K, then you should try to spend within $10K.

You do realize that city revenue has skyrocketed over the past decade?

Is it rocket science? Well, I suppose it is considering how the ill-thought notions being bandied about.

on Mar 12th, 2011 at 9:10am Report Abuse

JenF wrote:

Why aren't we talking about why the City ever agreed to subsidize the sewer and utilities development in the suburbs in the first place? Obviously it's in the developers best interest to not have to pay the costs and they get more people to buy their newly built homes if they can keep the prices lower. The problem is that it's the rest of us that are forced to subsidize the lifestyle choices of others whether we agree with their choices or not.

For instance, my house in the inner city did not come cheap. I paid more for pre-existing infrastructure, landscaping, convenience, and services (even though inner city services are often the first cut). Around the same time, some friends paid less money to buy a larger home out in Country Hills. Now obviously I get why getting a big house for less money is appealing but why are the developers of these new communities getting subsidized?

Why would it be bad for my friend to have paid the actual cost for that bigger house? It still might not have cost them as much as an inner city house but it would be the fair market value. Developers and other business people are always complaining about letting the "market" determine price but then want subsidies -- why do we let them have it both ways.

Yes, someone other than me had to foot the bill to build the utilities and infrastructure to service my inner city home. However, I then in turn paid a premium to purchase that pre-serviced home. It would be nice to hear a discussion about putting an end to our subsidies for new development.

If developers had to pay the actual cost, new home owners might be more open to considering other options and hey, maybe we could even lessen our urban sprawl problem.

on Mar 12th, 2011 at 9:59am Report Abuse

Ron wrote:

Agent666 will likely find that his view that "Okotoks' approach to limiting population growth is totally legal" is in fact the erroneous one. People flood into an area or a town because it meets their needs. Then they convert the single house into "secondary suites," whether legal or illegal. Then the extra people start to clamour for more room, more housing. A developer, as a corporation, has CHARTER rights as an individual. You may not like it, but that's the fact. Consult the 1985 "Big-M Drug Mart" decision of the Supreme Court of Canada. Big-M argued that its right to freedom of religion was infringed by being forced to close on Sundays (the Lord's Day Act). The Court agreed, and the Act was struck down. Ever since, stores have been open every day, every shift. You now almost need an Act of Parliament just to schedule time to meet friends over a glass of beer. Life is never as convenient or easy as Agent666 would like it to be.

on Mar 13th, 2011 at 1:58pm Report Abuse

Agent666 wrote:

"...places like Portland who have established an urban growth boundary, restrict our addiction to land. And stop subsidizing the development industry while asking tax payers to foot the bill."

Portland is an example of how this approach DOESN'T work, as developers merely leapfrog growth boundaries, for other jusristictions, something Mike Holmes is trying to do outside the Okotoks limits.

Whether it's sprawling development on greenfield, or infills, developers NEVER pay for water, sewer and other infrastructure. An example is the sort of infilling in many areas, where local taxpayers get stuck with the costs of new sewer and water lines, and repairs to roads and sidewalks. Of course, landfills are another publically-subsidised cost, since most non-recyclable solid waste is residential construction scrap. Any time politicians have the temerity to even suggest that developers and homebuilders shoulder the costs of development, the response is high dudgeon.

"A developer, as a corporation, has CHARTER rights as an individual."

Local governments can, and do, refuse development permits, and there's not dick-all developers or businesses can do about it. This is not about store opening times, but what local governments (and the Province, which ultimately owns the land in the name of the Queen) say you can do with land, via zoning laws. When Okotoks told Mike Holmes to stick a crowbar up his butt, he certainly didn't take this to court, because THERE IS NO RECOURSE THROUGH THE COURTS for this sort of refusal.

There is no way around the reality that growing populations mean growing water needs, which entail costly upgrades to infrastructure...and water supplies are finite. And dense new housing developments merely SLOW annexation of land. Go look at, say, Coventry Hills: multistory condos, homes with barely any yard. And infilling brings a host of problems, including infilling of parks, and lack of parking space (forget the New Urbanist fantasy that you will get people, including immigrants, out of cars). Densification still doesn't fix the water use problem. And it's time to quit pretending that bringing half a million people to the country every year isn't a problem--and a fixable one, at that.

on Mar 13th, 2011 at 8:06pm Report Abuse

mgb wrote:

Pointing the finger at immigration is ridiculous. People have been migrating to Canada from around the world for hundreds of years without annihilating our metropolitan water and sewage systems. They aren't magically to blame now.

Working in a sector where recent immigrants tend to find jobs, be they seeking residency or just temporary work permits, I can tell you that everyone I've met either lives in a pre-existing rental, a house with multiple other non-family members or a combination of those two things. In my experience most of them aren't moving here and buying a brand new house on the outskirts of the city. I recognize that some do, but I imagine that their numbers match homes purchased in the same and similar areas by non-migrants.

Through the early and mid 2000s Calgary had an extremely low vacancy rate. It also had skyrocketing housing prices due to the demand for a place to live. I remember whole families were living in their vans in campgrounds because they were making a lots of money working in Calgary but couldn't find a place to live. The solution? Build more places to live. The developers were happy to accomodate the City and a premium was paid for it.

As I see it, the underlying issue here is Calgary's reliance on the Oil and Gas Industry as the basis for its economy. As oil and gas go up, Calgary's economy booms, as it goes down, so does Calgary's economy. The path to escaping that cycle, which also means recognizing that oil and gas won't be around indefinitely as they exist today, is to diversify Calgary's economy. We need to expand into other sectors of the economy and to do that we need more people, both skilled workers, to do the jobs we don't know how to do and unskilled workers to do the jobs no one here wants to do. The system that's worked in Calgary for the last sixty years isn't the one that's going to work in the next sixty.

Was growth not managed well during the last decade? Probably. Are people new to Calgary and Canada to blame for that? Definitely not.

on Mar 14th, 2011 at 1:25am Report Abuse

Agent666 wrote:

"Are people new to Calgary and Canada to blame for that?"

Look: over 71% of population growth in Canada is due to immigration. A rising population requires more water, housing (which requires more land), sends more waste to both sewers and landfills (including housing construction scrap, which makes up the bulk of non-recyclable garbage) and results in more private vehicles and transit useage. Quit twisting logic to get out of acknowledging the politically-incorrect reality that bringing half a million people to the country every year is the main driver of Canada's escalating water consumption, urban sprawl and auto use.

"Was growth not managed well during the last decade?"

How does one 'manage' growth in a way that doesn't entail A. more water use (more people = more need for water), B. sewage (more people = more poop and pee), C. more landfill space (more people = more household and commercial solid waste, more construction scrap), D. more infrastructure costs (more people = more need for roads, transit, schools, hospitals), and E. more land annexation for housing (more housing = more need for land annexation, even if developments are dense)?

In the late 1980s, housing demand flattened out. After intense lobbying from the Chartered Banks, developers and other 'stakeholders' (i.e., NOT ordinary Canadians), the Mulroney regime raised immigration levels to an annual 'target' of 250,000, regardless of economic conditions. Even the Trudeau government lowered immigration during recessionary years. And, unlike PET, Mulroney massively increased family-reunification immigration, to pander to bloc-voters in certain ridings. The result has been a flood of elderly, sickly people bringing serious actuarial baggage to the healthcare system (though still demand for housing). With a few tweaks, the Chretien/Martin and Harper governments have kept this policy intact...though the banks have been lobbying to nearly double the 'permanent immigrant' intake, to 400,000 per year. Canada's immigration policy was written by the real estate-financial lobby, FOR the real estate-financial lobby.

You might find this article interesting:

http://www.thestar.com/Canada2020/article/106702

on Mar 14th, 2011 at 2:28pm Report Abuse

mgb wrote:

You know Agent666, you've really made me re-think my position. You're right, it's too much.

I did some digging of my own because it seems like we really need to put a stop to burdens on our already overburdened water system/society. I've identified a problem that's even worse than immigration: babies. Apparently, Canadians are having a lot of them. In fact, there were 100,000 more babies born last year than there were immigrants. I know, shocking. The numbers were buried deep in the government's statistical tables.

What about this: We sterilize everyone in the city, and like you want, stop anyone from moving here. Think of the utopia! We'll have immediate health care savings (those things cost a fortune when they come out) which will only grow as the years go on. Within 18 years we won't even need schools anymore. You can shut down those wasteful school boards and either turn those old buildings into multi-unit residences (they already have plumbing, yay!) or knock them down and just create more parks. Urban sprawl will come to a standstill. In fact, I imagine as people leave or die off, housing will become super affordable. That'll show the real estate-financial lobby who the boss is! And landfills, the loss in disposable diapers alone will make it worthwhile. We'll be able to put infrastructure on cruise control from here on out. It's a win-win.

I think you're really onto something my friend. My only regret is that my own short-sightedness led me to doubt you at all.

on Mar 17th, 2011 at 4:59am Report Abuse

Agent666 wrote:

@mgb, to reiterate:

*Over 71% of Canada's population growth is due to immigration from outside the country, NOT the 'native' birthrate. And cultural-religious factors, NOT income, determine family sizes: compared to Christian-European-Canadians, people from 'traditional' cultures tend to have larger family sizes.

*Population growth entails more water consumption, sewage treatment needs and household waste, REGARDLESS OF HOUSING DENSITY.

*Population growth is the single driver of housing starts, which are responsible for about half of the non-recyclable solid waste going to landfills (construction scrap).

*Even DENSE housing developments (townhouses, condos, newer-style detatched homes with very small yards) require greenfield development, on land that was used for agriculture.

*Infilling is often done on inner-city greenspace, as is the case in places like Highland Park (residents fighting the redevelopment of a park for condos).

*Along with the need for more schools and whatnot, from young immigrant families, comes the actuarial stress of family reunification immigration. Every year, tens of thousands of elderly, sickly immigrants (one group has DOUBLE the national type-II diabetes rate) are entering the healthcare system--an actuarial catastrophe.

*Like other Canadians, immigrants prefer personal vehicles to mass transit, with at least one vehicle per family being the norm. This entails more demand for roadwork and parking space.

*Like other Canadians, immigrants tend to prefer low-density, suburban housing, with ample parking. This is why condo vacancy rates run 50% in some downtown developments.

I realise that the 'I'-word is too politically sensitive a topic for Progressives to broach. It's much easier to blame our escalating water consumption, urban sprawl, destruction of farmland, bulging landfills and growing healthcare costs on the 29% of 'native' Canadian births, rather than the half million people coming here from abroad, who represent the other 71%. And Progressives would rather criticise the fecundity of Canadian families, where 'large' families are considered two or more children, rather than 'traditional' cultures, where half a dozen or more kids are the norm. It seems that politically-correct 'Western guilt' has basically lobotomised environmental activists.

on Mar 19th, 2011 at 5:02pm Report Abuse

filmlover wrote:

Shocking. Who would believe there would be water problems, after approving Cross Iron Mills development, which had NO available water according to studies done at the time. And further downstream, the Siksika Nation have to have all their drinking water trucked in, the water downstream of Calgary is not fit for human consumption.

Building more and more developments and not requiring the developers who benefit to pay for it within their business model is criminal.

on Mar 19th, 2011 at 5:55pm Report Abuse

mgb wrote:

@Agent666

Those Progressives, I know, right?

Although I'm a little confused by your reply. While I really really appreciate all the super informative information you supplied I did mentioned in my last reply that I AGREED with you that we need to stop every type of population growth we can. I mean, sound the alarms, we're doomed.

I really have to ask though, I wonder if you could better define what you consider to be an immigrant in the context of "Christian-European-Canadians" vs "'traditional' cultures". What's a "traditional culture"? It seems like every culture has a form of tradition attatched to it, something making them unique from all other types of cultures. Is there something more specific you are referring to?


Also, when does someone become a "native Canadian" in your opinion? Is it after they attain citizenship? What about their kids that are born here, are they "native Canadians"?

I think your terminology could use some tweaking...I mean, not that it matters since you're really trying to stop everyone...

on Mar 20th, 2011 at 3:35am Report Abuse

Agent666 wrote:

"What's a "traditional culture"?"

Essentially, any culture that didn't go through the social changes associated with the total war economies of WWs I-II (women working and defferring childbirth). All Euro-North American societies experienced this, while most of the developing world (South Asia, parts of East Asia, Latin America, Arabia, Central Asia, most of Africa) didn't. A good example can be found in the former Soviet Union. Post-war European Soviet (Slavic, Estonian, Lithuanian and Latvian) birthrates fell, while Central Asia's (Turkic, Tadjik) remained the same. However, the introduction of social programs like daycare and maternity leave have allowed Western women to have their cake and eat it: careers AND larger families. There has been an increase in birthrates, in Western cultures, in the last few years, though still nowhere near the birthrates of developing countries.

"Also, when does someone become a "native Canadian" in your opinion?"

Second-generation and beyond, from anywhere, assimmilated into the dominant Anglo-French host cultures. And let's put the silliness of multiculturalism--more a PET fabrication than anything intrinsically 'Canadian'--aside, and admit that French-Quebecois, British, and various First Nations and Metis cultures are what actually constitutes 'Canadian' culture. Very large family sizes aren't as important in these societies as in, say, South Asian or East African cultures.

It's not a matter of halting ALL immigration to Canada, but cutting the volume to a sane, sustainable level--HALF A MILLION per year (again, including 'temporary' immigrants and visa-holders who don't leave) isn't it. This huge number stays the same even during recessions, when one would think that the quarter million 'temporary' intake should be cut. In reality, the 250,000 annual permanent immigration 'target' introduced by the Mulroney government (and kept by governments since) was the result of intense lobbying from the chartered banks, real estate investment trusts, developers and other 'stakeholders,' as well as a ploy to garner votes in certain ridings. Even Trudeau had the sense to slash immigration during recessions and severely limit the family-reunification intake, but the Harper-Kenney regime keeps 'em coming.

on Mar 20th, 2011 at 2:16pm Report Abuse

mgb wrote:

So where are we on the whole sterilization thing?

Just kidding! The idea of doing that is ridiculous. It does however, show that the inevitable outcome would be a city that is entirely deserted, either through migration out, if you're smart, or just sheer attrition as people dies off without being replaced. The economy would also become entirely unviable long before the last person died off.

I do want to address a few of your points as well.


Calgary has .1097% of Alberta's entire land area. The assertion that we're running out of space is pretty misleading. If we were talking about Macau with 18,534 people per square kilometre, you might have a pretty good case, but Canada is sitting at 3.4 people per square kilometre, pulling in at 229 on a list of 240 countries in terms of population density. If we ahve anything as a nation, it's space. Calgary itself has about 1,320 people per square kilometre, much less if I start playing around with GMA numbers. That's significantly less than Toronto, Montreal and Ottawa/Hull, let alone hundreds of other cities across the globe. So when you write, "bursting at the seams," all I see is a laughable piece of rhetoric, especially when those other cities must be ready to go nuclear given your explosive example.

A quick look at the ethnic landscape of Calgary shows that as of 2006 (I assume that's the most recent number available) visible minorities, or as you like to call them "traditional cultures" make up approximately 23.7% of Calgary's total population. Even if you were to add 100,000 visible minorities to the number of Calgarians in the city (to account for the massive population explosion from all the babies they are having), they'd still only represent 30% of the population. It may be that they have larger family sizes, but you're going to have a tough time convincing me that 23% of Calgary's population is responsible for drying up Southern Alberta's rivers.

I also had a fun little look at a historical chart showing Calgary's population growth each decade over the last century. 1901 to 1911 had a whopping 968.3% growth. Talk about sprawl. Next in was 1884 to 1891 with 666% (hey, maybe that's where your username comes from!). Of the thirteen time periods, the last decade represents the ninth largest period of growth the city has experienced. In fact, the top eight periods of growth for the city came before Mulroney used his "ploy" to garner election votes and appease the lobbying from chartered banks, et al.

If our garbage dumps are bursting at the seams (I still love that) it's because we aren't recycling enough. Calgary implemented a door-to-door recycling system 20 years after Vancouver did. It's not like there wasn't a road map out there for a program to work. If anything, we're just plain irresponsible when it comes to those things.

Destruction of farmland? I hate to say it, but I bet on average food coming from within 100kms of Calgary makes up less than 5% of the average Calgarian's diet. It's not like that one farm that got annexed by the city is going to push us all into starvation. Or is it not "progressive" for me to say that?

Growing health care costs? Really? I wonder if the low-reproducing and ever aging 76.3% percent of "Christian-European-Canadians" have anything to do with that?

We can dress up the numbers any way we want and this can go on forever. At the end of the day you are using an article on a utilities bill to mask your contempt for the migration of everyone that isn't a Christian-European-Canadian to Canada.

The simple truth here is that the city government failed at managing the growth that governments before it were able to succeed at in worse situations. If you want to point fingers, point it at them. Blaming the people that are going to give Calgary long term viability as a prosperous city is dishonest and reprehensible.

on Mar 21st, 2011 at 3:46am Report Abuse

Agent666 wrote:

"The assertion that we're running out of space is pretty misleading."

The reason that Calgary got it's 'Cowtown' moniker is that is was the hub of an agricultural economy, located in some of the best farm and grazing land. THIS is the sort of land that's being gobbled up for housing, and which represents less than 5% of Canada's total area. A decade ago, what's now Coventry Hills and other developments was farm and ranch land. And, unlike immigrants a century ago, today's newcomers largely don't settle in areas outside major metro zones. And every thousand hectares taken out of production tallies up, driving up food costs, since most cereals, fresh dairy, beef and whatnot ARE locally-sourced. Thus, it's pretty hillarious to read about 'eat local' campaigns, when sprawl AND has relentlessly destroyed both outlying farm and grazing land, as well as the Calgary-area farms that used to exist.

Aside from land, water is the bigger picture here, and there is no way around the reality that increasing Southern Alberta's population--again, largely because of immigration from outside the country--is dangerously overtaxing our local water supply. There is NO WAY Calgary's metro population can expand to the developers' wet dream of 2M, even with all of the low-flush toilets and water meters available. The Bow isn't getting any wetter.

"If our garbage dumps are bursting at the seams (I still love that) it's because we aren't recycling enough."

Again, more than half of NON-RECYCLABLE waste going to landfills is residential construction scrap, generated by new housing starts (sprawl, OR infill), demand for which is driven by--you guessed it--regional population growth. And there is still much household waste that isn't recyclable: adding more households simply increases the volume of this. Calgary is now starting to go through what Toronto did a decade ago--having to look for new landfill space.

"Growing health care costs? Really? I wonder if the low-reproducing and ever aging 76.3% percent of "Christian-European-Canadians" have anything to do with that?"

Unlike the elderly and sick grandparents, great-uncles and cousins who come to Canada by the tens of thousands per year, the 'ever-aging' Canadians, including first-generation immigrants who came here decades ago, paid into government tax coffers for years. Notice how insurance companies generally don't accept claims from new subscribers? Yet medicare is funding very costly healthcare for tens of thousands of newcomers every year, none of whom paid into the system, something which is complete actuarial insanity. Family reunification immigration was a big mistake, but when even modest cuts (25%) have been announced, the usual suspects in various lobby groups react with high dudgeon.

"At the end of the day you are using an article on a utilities bill to mask your contempt for the migration of everyone that isn't a Christian-European-Canadian to Canada."

At the end of the day, you're trying your darndest to deny the fact that costly upgrades to water, sewage and power infrastructure, road and transport infrastructure, escalating healthcare costs, urban sprawl, rapidly-filling landfills and dangerously-increasing water consumption have anything to do with population growth, 71% of which is due to the half million-odd people who pour into Canadian cities every year. The simple truth is that growth toward the Plan-Itoid developers' dream of a 2M metro Calgary population can't be 'managed,' but should be prevented in the first place--even hitting ONE MILLION was stupid. It was the banks, REITs, developers and construction lobbyists who got us into this mess: if you want to point fingers, blame them. And deflecting blame from the unsustainable, business lobby-crafted policy of bulk-importing half a million warm bodies per year, something which is compromising Calgary's long-term environmental sustainability and viability, is dishonest and reprehensible.

on Mar 21st, 2011 at 2:21pm Report Abuse

Clairvoyant wrote:

Councilor Farrell: "We don't know the number. ... The reality is stark. It isn't insurmountable, but it will be if we continue to neglect this." This is not Farrell's first term in office: so where has she been ... of course, the Calatrava Bridge, that eyepopper that will bring all those erudite Europeans to spend their money here. What Farrell is hiding is the failing water supply system in the older parts of the City: the City is spending megabucks on fixing blowouts but Farrell and the City administration will not release a plan for line replacements: Farrell and the City administration will not even release the procedures used to ensure the water is safe after a line failure has occurred. And Farrell and the City administration will not release any information on the impacts by their massive new redevelopments such as Brentwood, on the water system, the sanitary sewer system,or other utilities. But Farrell and her fellow Civic Campers (Nenshi et al.) have a thousand pet projects ... that's why there is a 10.4% tax increase this year ... why spend money on an essential service ... wait until there is a crisis, and then jack up the tax rates even more.

on Apr 3rd, 2011 at 3:04pm Report Abuse

Agent666 wrote:

"And Farrell and the City administration will not release any information on the impacts by their massive new redevelopments such as Brentwood, on the water system, the sanitary sewer system,or other utilities."

You hit the nail on the head. Even infilling developments require massively-subsidised infrastructure upgrades, since it is POPULATION, rather than density which determines useage.The Nenshi-Farrel Plan-It line that greenfield development is subsidised is only half true--ALL developments, including infilling and 'densification,' are subsidised by taxpayers. Rio-Can and Knightsbridge Homes are NOT paying for the new water, sewer, electric and sidewalk, roadwork, if and when 'University City' gets built. (The development is not actually approved, yet, nor does the developer even have the money in place to build it, yet they're 'pre-selling' units to speculators.) Even those light-blocking, ugly infills popping up, sometimes without development or building permits, also require upgrades to local water and sewer systems, repairs to roads and sidewalks, which end up on other residents' tax and utility bills.

on Apr 8th, 2011 at 4:20pm Report Abuse


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